Market Outlook

Market Outlook for Q3 2023

Halfway through the investment year, surprises have emerged. The US debt ceiling dispute, the regional banking crisis, and AI’s impact on the world economy have caused turmoil. The global economy has cooled but performed better than expected. Monetary policy is adjusting, inflation is declining, and growth expectations are stabilizing. Looking ahead, selection will be crucial in the uncertain market.

Consider allocating your investments to defensive quality stocks that possess strong balance sheets and demonstrate consistent cash flow. These stocks exhibit remarkable resilience during economic downturns and are less susceptible to earnings volatility. Their performance shines during phases of stricter lending standards or weaker credit demand.

Notably, defensive quality stocks are often regarded as reliable alternatives to bonds due to their stability and dividend security. Initially, investors showed reluctance towards these bond proxies due to successive interest rate hikes earlier this year, resulting in the underperformance of defensive sectors compared to the overall market.

However, as we approach the end of the tightening cycle, the adverse impact of monetary policy adjustments seems to be adequately reflected in the stock prices. Consequently, defensive quality stocks tend to regain their favourable momentum. In light of these circumstances, we believe that investing in defensive quality stocks presents an opportunity for catch-up growth and potential returns.

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This text is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation for the subscription, purchase, sale, or safekeeping of any security or financial instrument, the engagement in any other transaction, the provision of any investment advice or service, or as a contractual document. It does not constitute investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice, or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate for an individual’s circumstances, nor does it constitute personalized investment advice for any investor.

This text reflects the information, opinions, and comments of Schmid & Partners Management Services Ltd., which are subject to change without notice.

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